tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → White Plains via Washington: arrives on time 24%

  1. 14:34 CLT → 16:13 DCA
    AA 2839 · American · 1h 39m · 66% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 DCA → 18:28 HPN
    AA 5236 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 28m · 54% on time, 7.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (7.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip3h 54mCLT 14:34 to HPN 18:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.