tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Hartford via Washington: arrives on time 18%

  1. 14:34 CLT → 16:13 DCA
    AA 2839 · American · 1h 39m · 66% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:26 DCA → 18:55 BDL
    AA 5412 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 29m · 32% on time, 15.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (15.4% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip4h 21mCLT 14:34 to BDL 18:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.