tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:25 CLT → 11:37 MIA
    AA 1436 · American · 2h 12m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 30mORD 05:07 to MIA 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.