tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:43 CLT → 12:37 EWR
    AA 1819 · American · 1h 54m · 87% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 30mORD 05:07 to EWR 12:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.