tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Key West via Charlotte: arrives on time 71%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 CLT → 12:14 EYW
    AA 1826 · American · 2h 14m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Key West is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 07mORD 05:07 to EYW 12:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.