tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Charlotte: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:21 CLT → 10:23 RDU
    AA 2381 · American · 1h 02m · 76% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 16mORD 05:07 to RDU 10:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.