tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Manchester via Charlotte: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 CLT → 11:37 MHT
    AA 5294 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 27m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Manchester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 30mORD 05:07 to MHT 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.