tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rochester via Charlotte: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:24 CLT → 11:35 ROC
    AA 5377 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 11m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rochester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 28mORD 05:07 to ROC 11:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.