tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Springfield via Charlotte: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:25 CLT → 10:54 SGF
    AA 5405 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 29m · 75% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 47mORD 05:07 to SGF 10:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.