tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Dayton via Charlotte: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:47 CLT → 13:31 DAY
    AA 5490 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 42m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 22mORD 05:07 to DAY 13:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.