tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 CLT → 10:38 ILM
    AA 5820 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 18m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wilmington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 31mORD 05:07 to ILM 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.