tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:07 ORD → 08:10 CLT
    AA 2842 · American · 2h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:15 CLT → 12:33 ILM
    AA 5822 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 18m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wilmington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 26mORD 05:07 to ILM 12:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.