Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Dallas-Fort Worth via Tampa: arrives on time 8%
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16:00 LGA → 19:00 TPAAA 2845 · American · 3h 00m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled
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50m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:50 TPA → 21:37 DFWAA 3272 · American · 2h 47m · 24% on time, 9.2% cancelled
Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time8%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (9.2% are) and within 15 minutes (24%).
Total trip6h 37mLGA 16:00 to DFW 21:37, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.