tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Seattle via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 10:54 TUL → 12:16 DFW
    AA 2851 · American · 1h 22m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 39m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 DFW → 19:15 SEA
    AA 2009 · American · 4h 18m · 57% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 234 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 39m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip10h 19mTUL 10:54 to SEA 19:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.