tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Los Angeles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 50%

  1. 10:54 TUL → 12:16 DFW
    AA 2851 · American · 1h 22m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:11 DFW → 14:20 LAX
    AA 3334 · American · 3h 09m · 75% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 26mTUL 10:54 to LAX 14:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.