tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 77%

  1. 07:04 DSM → 10:30 CLT
    AA 2854 · American · 2h 26m · 90% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 CLT → 14:35 PHX
    AA 2902 · American · 4h 19m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 30mDSM 07:04 to PHX 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.