tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Dallas via Phoenix: arrives on time 57%

  1. 08:00 JAX → 09:21 PHX
    AA 2858 · American · 4h 21m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:55 PHX → 15:20 DAL
    WN 3255 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 20mJAX 08:00 to DAL 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.