tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 17:05 TVC → 19:09 DFW
    AA 2870 · American · 3h 02m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 DFW → 23:57 MSP
    AA 3149 · American · 2h 27m · 44% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip7h 52mTVC 17:05 to MSP 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.