tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Philadelphia via Las Vegas: arrives on time 30%

  1. 21:34 DFW → 22:25 LAS
    AA 2872 · American · 2h 51m · 43% on time, 6.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:20 LAS → 07:07 PHL +1 day
    AA 437 · American · 4h 49m · 87% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (6.8% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 35mDFW 21:34 to PHL 07:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.