tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:54 TYS → 15:24 DFW
    AA 2873 · American · 2h 30m · 78% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:49 DFW → 21:29 LGA
    AA 2513 · American · 3h 40m · 56% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 35mTYS 13:54 to LGA 21:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.