tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 39%

  1. 13:54 TYS → 15:24 DFW
    AA 2873 · American · 2h 30m · 78% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:10 DFW → 20:53 PHL
    AA 2973 · American · 3h 43m · 62% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 59mTYS 13:54 to PHL 20:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.