tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Detroit via Philadelphia: arrives on time 52%

  1. 17:21 MCI → 21:10 PHL
    AA 2875 · American · 2h 49m · 76% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:04 PHL → 23:59 DTW
    AA 5169 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 38mMCI 17:21 to DTW 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.