tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:31 TYS → 19:04 DFW
    AA 2876 · American · 2h 33m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DFW → 23:59 DCA
    AA 2077 · American · 2h 59m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 28mTYS 17:31 to DCA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.