tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 20%

  1. 17:31 TYS → 19:04 DFW
    AA 2876 · American · 2h 33m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DFW → 23:56 MIA
    AA 2823 · American · 2h 51m · 41% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip6h 25mTYS 17:31 to MIA 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.