tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Detroit via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:31 TYS → 19:04 DFW
    AA 2876 · American · 2h 33m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 DFW → 23:40 DTW
    AA 690 · American · 2h 45m · 68% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 09mTYS 17:31 to DTW 23:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.