tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 57%

  1. 06:00 FSD → 08:20 DFW
    AA 2880 · American · 2h 20m · 84% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 DFW → 12:14 ORD
    AA 1290 · American · 2h 39m · 69% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 14mFSD 06:00 to ORD 12:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.