tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 FSD → 08:20 DFW
    AA 2880 · American · 2h 20m · 84% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:54 DFW → 12:28 PHX
    F9 3971 · Frontier · 2h 36m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Sioux Falls). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 30mFSD 06:00 to PHX 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.