tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 23:56 SEA → 06:02 ORD
    AA 2881 · American · 4h 06m · 94% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:02 ORD → 10:03 DCA +1 day
    AA 2965 · American · 2h 01m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 07mSEA 23:56 to DCA 10:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.