tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 87%

  1. 23:56 SEA → 06:02 ORD
    AA 2881 · American · 4h 06m · 94% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 ORD → 11:40 IND +1 day
    AA 843 · American · 1h 10m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 44mSEA 23:56 to IND 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.