tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Milwaukee via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 23:56 SEA → 06:02 ORD
    AA 2881 · American · 4h 06m · 94% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:55 ORD → 07:58 MKE +1 day
    AA 6263 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 02mSEA 23:56 to MKE 07:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.