tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Madison via Philadelphia: arrives on time 53%

  1. 15:03 BOS → 16:39 PHL
    AA 2882 · American · 1h 36m · 56% on time, 7.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 PHL → 21:41 MSN
    AA 5512 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 35m · 70% on time, 14.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (7.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (14.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 36mBOS 15:03 to MSN 21:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.