tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Syracuse via Philadelphia: arrives on time 31%

  1. 15:03 BOS → 16:39 PHL
    AA 2882 · American · 1h 36m · 56% on time, 7.4% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 PHL → 18:54 SYR
    AA 5837 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 24m · 67% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (7.4% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip3h 51mBOS 15:03 to SYR 18:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.