tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 75%

  1. 19:09 MRY → 21:04 PHX
    AA 2884 · American · 1h 57m · 85% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 00:36 PHX → 05:09 DFW +1 day
    AA 1818 · American · 2h 33m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Monterey). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 00mMRY 19:09 to DFW 05:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.