tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Baltimore via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 39%

  1. 12:18 MSY → 14:03 DFW
    AA 2885 · American · 1h 45m · 65% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:17 DFW → 19:24 BWI
    AA 3004 · American · 3h 07m · 57% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 06mMSY 12:18 to BWI 19:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.