tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Chicago via Los Angeles: arrives on time 53%

  1. 23:40 HNL → 08:10 LAX
    AA 2888 · American · 5h 30m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:31 LAX → 15:59 ORD +1 day
    AA 2608 · American · 4h 29m · 76% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 5 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip11h 20mHNL 23:40 to ORD 15:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.