tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 25%

  1. 23:40 HNL → 08:10 LAX
    AA 2888 · American · 5h 30m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:22 LAX → 10:56 SFO +1 day
    AA 6330 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 37% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip8h 16mHNL 23:40 to SFO 10:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.