tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → San Diego via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:44 TUL → 20:13 DFW
    AA 2889 · American · 1h 27m · 41% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 DFW → 23:59 SAN
    AA 2568 · American · 3h 04m · 56% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 15mTUL 18:44 to SAN 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.