tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Columbia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:04 ORD → 08:36 DFW
    AA 2896 · American · 2h 32m · 86% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 DFW → 13:23 CAE
    AA 5109 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbia is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 19mORD 06:04 to CAE 13:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.