tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sioux Falls via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 62%

  1. 06:04 ORD → 08:36 DFW
    AA 2896 · American · 2h 32m · 86% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 DFW → 12:10 FSD
    AA 6194 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 20m · 75% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 06mORD 06:04 to FSD 12:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.