tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Washington via Columbus: arrives on time 72%

  1. 08:55 PHX → 16:00 CMH
    AA 2900 · American · 4h 05m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Columbus (CMH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:54 CMH → 20:20 DCA
    AA 4398 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 25m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 24mPHX 08:55 to DCA 20:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.