tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Cedar Rapids via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 20:06 DCA → 21:42 ORD
    AA 2903 · American · 2h 36m · 77% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ORD → 23:49 CID
    AA 3326 · American · 1h 14m · 57% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 48mDCA 20:06 to CID 23:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.