tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → San Juan via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:25 CLT → 16:46 ORD
    AA 2907 · American · 2h 21m · 51% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 ORD → 23:58 SJU
    AA 3192 · American · 4h 58m · 59% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip8h 33mCLT 15:25 to SJU 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.