tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:25 CLT → 16:46 ORD
    AA 2907 · American · 2h 21m · 51% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:07 ORD → 20:42 DTW
    AA 3500 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 35m · 61% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 17mCLT 15:25 to DTW 20:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.