tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Manchester via Chicago: arrives on time 73%

  1. 15:25 CLT → 16:46 ORD
    AA 2907 · American · 2h 21m · 51% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:11 ORD → 23:30 MHT
    AA 4149 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 84% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 17mCLT 15:25 to MHT 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.