tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:52 VPS → 19:45 CLT
    AA 2909 · American · 1h 52m · 77% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:39 CLT → 00:46 MIA +1 day
    AA 1596 · American · 2h 07m · 60% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 54mVPS 16:52 to MIA 00:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.