tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Nashville via Charlotte: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:52 VPS → 19:45 CLT
    AA 2909 · American · 1h 52m · 77% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 CLT → 22:32 BNA
    AA 1644 · American · 1h 27m · 62% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 40mVPS 16:52 to BNA 22:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.