tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 49%

  1. 16:52 VPS → 19:45 CLT
    AA 2909 · American · 1h 52m · 77% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 CLT → 23:00 JFK
    AA 1727 · American · 2h 06m · 62% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 08mVPS 16:52 to JFK 23:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.