tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Asheville via Miami: arrives on time 16%

  1. 16:05 ORD → 20:26 MIA
    AA 2910 · American · 3h 21m · 39% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:12 MIA → 22:47 AVL
    AA 4042 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 07m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection22%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 78% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (22%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 14mORD 16:05 to AVL 22:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.