tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:29 CVG → 19:07 CLT
    AA 2911 · American · 1h 38m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 CLT → 00:10 IAD +1 day
    AA 1242 · American · 1h 25m · 41% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip6h 41mCVG 17:29 to IAD 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.