tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Jacksonville via Miami: arrives on time 32%

  1. 13:30 CLT → 15:38 MIA
    AA 2912 · American · 2h 08m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 MIA → 17:48 JAX
    AA 804 · American · 1h 23m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 18mCLT 13:30 to JAX 17:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.